6.6 Equity Valuation: Applications and Processes - 6.6 Equity Valuation: Applications and Processes Explained
Key Concepts
- Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
- Comparable Company Analysis
- Precedent Transactions
- Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
- Multiples-Based Valuation
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
DCF Analysis is a method used to estimate the value of an investment based on its expected future cash flows. The process involves forecasting future cash flows, discounting them to their present value using a required rate of return, and summing these values to arrive at the intrinsic value of the investment.
Example: A company expects to generate $10 million in free cash flow next year and anticipates a 5% growth rate in cash flows annually. If the required rate of return is 10%, the present value of these cash flows can be calculated to determine the company's intrinsic value.
Comparable Company Analysis
Comparable Company Analysis involves comparing a company to similar companies in the same industry to determine its relative value. This method uses financial ratios and multiples (such as Price-to-Earnings, Price-to-Sales, and Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA) to assess the company's valuation.
Example: A tech startup is compared to publicly traded tech companies with similar revenue and growth rates. By analyzing the average P/E ratio of these comparable companies, the startup's valuation can be estimated based on its expected earnings.
Precedent Transactions
Precedent Transactions involve analyzing historical mergers and acquisitions in the same industry to determine a company's value. This method looks at the prices paid for similar companies in the past and applies those multiples to the target company's financials.
Example: A pharmaceutical company is considering acquiring a biotech firm. By examining the prices paid for similar biotech firms in recent acquisitions, the pharmaceutical company can estimate a fair value for the target firm.
Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
The DDM is a method used to value a stock based on the present value of its expected future dividends. The model assumes that the value of a stock is the sum of all future dividends, discounted to their present value using a required rate of return.
Example: A company pays an annual dividend of $2 per share and is expected to grow its dividends by 3% annually. If the required rate of return is 8%, the present value of these future dividends can be calculated to determine the stock's intrinsic value.
Multiples-Based Valuation
Multiples-Based Valuation involves using financial ratios and multiples to estimate a company's value. Common multiples include Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA). This method is often used in conjunction with other valuation techniques.
Example: A retail company has earnings of $50 million and a P/E ratio of 15. By multiplying the earnings by the P/E ratio, the company's market value can be estimated at $750 million.